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RSS (c) Financial Times Limited – 2010

  • Positive employment data lift US stocks February 3, 2012
    US stocks hit six-month high on news that unemployment fell to a three-year low in January with banks among the main beneficiaries […]
  • Stocks surge on strong US jobs data February 3, 2012
    Equities and commodities benefit from robust US employment data with the FTSE All-World index at its best levels since start of August […]
  • Volatile banks push Europe higher February 3, 2012
    Rapid gains for Société Générale and Crédit Agricole helped the FTSE Eurofirst rise for the fourth consecutive session on Friday […]
  • Chartists have a cross to bear February 3, 2012
    Analysts’ favourite is little help in spotting trends, says David Schwartz […]
  • Insurers head gains with FTSE eyeing 6,000 level February 3, 2012
    London makes broad-based gains with only six FTSE 100 stocks falling as US jobs data and purchasing managers’ surveys lift sentiment […]
  • Look before you leap, Mr Zuckerberg February 3, 2012
    In an open letter to Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, Joe Saluzzi of Themis Trading suggests the stock may become a chip in a giant casino […]
  • Growing pains for industry in a hurry February 3, 2012
    A raft of challenges made 2011 the toughest year yet for providers […]
  • Asian stocks drift lower on weak earnings February 3, 2012
    Asian stocks dip ahead of US jobs data later in the day, while downbeat corporate earnings continue to sway investor sentiment […]
  • Caesars plans IPO to allow investors to sell February 2, 2012
    Casino operator makes fresh attempt to list publicly and aims to raise only m but move will allow unnamed co-investors the opportunity to exit their investment […]
  • Miners power FTSE to six-month high February 2, 2012
    ENRC misses out on rally fuelled by Glencore and Xstrata’s proposed merger while disappointing results elsewhere drag on London index […]

Archive for February 2009

Candle Chart USD/CHF – 27th February 2009

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Friday, February 27th, 2009
USD/CHF Daily Candle Chart - 27th February 2009

USD/CHF Daily Candle Chart - 27th February 2009

I wanted to show you this candle chart, as again it has some extremely important lessons for us as traders, using technical analysis as our primary trading tool. The first aspect of this chart which I think is a perfect example is the waterfall effect, seen in mid-December 2008. In any down move, increasingly wide spreads indicate that the move is gaining momentum, and as you can see here, the spread of the down bar increases, creating the so called “waterfall”, which describes the pattern perfectly. Now if you have volume on your trading system, then this is an excellent tool to validate the move as we would expect to see increasing volume with the increasing spreads as the market bears take control. So in any move, if you see widening spreads, in either a down move, or an up move, then this is an indication that the move is gaining momentum, and therefore provides us with a trading signal.

The second aspect of this move, is at the bottom of the waterfall, where we see a classic hammer candle, hammering out the bottom which we have discussed before. With such a deep hammer, after such a strong down move, there is only on way for prices to move, and that’s back up, but only temporarily, and this is the key point. As traders we have to be patient and wait for the confirming signal to appear. Whilst we might have made money trading the first hammer, we might have got stopped out in any reversal. The second hammer which appears six days later, is a much stronger signal as it confirms the first, and therefore we can trade with much greater confidence that the reversal is a genuine one, and not a temporary move higher. The lower wick of the candle is re-tests the same level as for the first hammer candle, adding more weight to the signal. Having seen the second signal we would then wait until prices moved up and through the moving averages which then provide us with added confidence as the move develops. I am still in this one and waiting for prices to reach the resistance above before closing out, or alternatively if a reversal occurs then trigger my stop loss below the 1.15 level.

Categories : Momentum Patterns, Reversal Patterns
Tags : candle charts, candle pattern, candlestick charting, candlestick charts, candlestick patterns, candlestick trading, forex candlestick, japanese candle

Dollar Yen Daily Candle Chart – 25th February 2009

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Wednesday, February 25th, 2009
Dollar yen chart - daily 25th january 2009

Dollar Yen Chart ( USD/JPY) - Daily 25th February 2009

This is a great chart and a currency pair I am trading at the moment, so it is very relevant and has three excellent signals on the daily chart, all of which I have used to identify reversals in the last few weeks. The first of these occurred just before Christmas last year, with a great bullish engulfing signal following a sharp sell of which is a pre-requisite for this signal – in other words we must see a strong move before the signal in order for it to carry enough weight. In this case it did, and prices rose accordingly supported by the moving averages. The next signal occurred early in January again after a strong rally, with a classic shooting star above the 40 day moving average, indicating possible weakness in the market. The bulls have been in charge for the last few weeks, but the bears have now won the battle on the day forcing prices off their highs and back down to the open. With a confirming down bar the following day, this gave us an excellent signal to sell and to profit from the short side of the market.

Finally we have the third signal in the third week of January, a deep hammer with a narrow body and long lower wick. The important aspect to note here is that the lowest price on the day was identical to those of the bullish candle – a real giveway for us as traders and one which gives us extra confidence in the trade. Whilst this took some time to take effect, it was the first signal that a bottom had been reached and one that I have been trading ever since with last nights rise fueled by the awful economic news for Japan’s export markets. I actually entered the trade 5 days after the signal first appeared, once the wide spread up bar of the first week in February had appeared, and bought the following day on the reaction lower, a position I have held ever since. I am now looking for a target of 98.50 for the position in the short term. So in summary, three great candles, all of which gave us signals of a reversal.

Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : bullish engulfing, candle chart analysis, candlestick analysis, dollar yen, dollar yen chart, hammer candle, moving averages, reversal candle, reversal patterns, reversals, shooting star, USD/JPY

Continuation Candle Pattern – The Window

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Tuesday, February 24th, 2009
Continuation Candle Pattern - Falling Window

Continuation Candle Pattern - Falling Window

The Japanese have some wonderful descriptions for their candle patterns, and one of these is called the window. In the West we call this a gap up or gap down and whilst not common in forex markets, they occur much more frequently in stocks where prices close in the evening, and then open with a gap the following morning, due to some overnight breaking news. This of course rarely happens in the forex market, so I have taken an example from the futures market and WTI oil contacts with a great example for you to see. The Japanese call this phenomenon an window, and in essence there are two kinds, namely a rising window which is a bullish signal and the falling window, which is the bearish signal.  Both signify the same thing, namely that they confirm that the move is likely to continue for the time being. Now the important point to note, and this is where many traders and chartists become confused, is that it the price of the following day, enters the price of the previous day, even if this is only the shadow of the candle, then this is not considered to be a window in Japanese candlestick analysis. This is an important point and one which is often misunderstood. So let’s look at our example above.

As you can see on the 22nd of July we had a wide spread down bar, with small shadows top and bottom which was followed the day after ( 23rd July) by a narrow spread down bar with no bottom wick and only a tiny top shadow. This is then followed by our ‘falling window’  with a clear gap between this candle and the following day’s candle. As you can see the upper shadow of the candle on the 24th July has not penetrated back into the previous day’s candle in any way, and therefore we can say that this is a true falling window and a bearish signal which confirms that the move is likely to continue for some time. Had the upper shadow breached the candle of the previous day, in any way, then we would have to discount the signal. The window concept is also important from another view ( sorry for the pun) and this is that it provides a natural break to any reversal, rather like a firebreak in controlling the spread of fires which are much in the news at the moment. In order to control a fire, deep channels are dug making it much harder for the fire to jump the gap – well the same principle applies here with a window providing a gap across which prices have to jump in order to move higher ( or lower ). This is where the Eastern Japanese candle philosophy joins with the Western support resistance philosophy which make candlestick analysis so powerful, provided you take the time to understand all the nuances and subtleties of the methodology. So keep your eyes open for falling and rising windows, as these are great signals for a continuation of the move.

Categories : Continuation Patterns
Tags : bearish pattern, candle analysis, candle pattern, candle patterns, contination patterns, falling window

Classic Reversal Candles – CAD/JPY Currency Pair

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Tuesday, February 24th, 2009
Shooting Star & Hammer Candles In The CAD/JPY Daily Chart

Shooting Star & Hammer Candles In The CAD/JPY Daily Chart

The reason I have chosen this chart, is not because it is a currency pair I trade regularly, but simply because it has two excellent examples of a reversal that we can benefit from, provided we are paying attention and understand these classic candles. If we start with the top reversal at 78.50 on the 7th January 2009, following two wide spread up bars, we have a strong signal that prices are about to reverse with a shooting star, a candle with a small body and a long upper shadow or wick as in this case. This is the first signal that the move upwards has run out of steam. The bulls are in control initially and prices rise quickly, but gradually the bears begin to take charge, and bring pressure to bear in the market forcing prices back lower to close at or near the opening price. This is followed the day after by a wide spread down bar which confirms that we now have weakness in the market and therefore provides us with a possibility opportunity to short the market. Whilst one never trades one candle on it’s own, or indeed without the confirmation of Western Indicators, this is a classic candle that you can see in all markets in all time frames, and is one I trade more than any other. I will refer to this many, many, times as it is key to your success. Whilst Japanese candlesticks are a fantastic trading tool, you simply cannot use them in isolation, but have to be read with Western indicators which them confirm the signal. Whichever indicators you use, please remember this point, as it is key to the success of your charting skills. Personally I use simple moving averages, support and resistance, and trend lines.

To be honest, if you simply learnt how to trade using this one candle alone, you would probably make more money with this than any other. You do of course have to be patient and wait, but when they do arrive, they are one of the best candles I know, for being the first signal to a reversal and for us to make money. Now the other reason for showing you this chart is that this signal is then followed by another classic, the hammer, so called as the Japanese believe it is hammering out a bottom which we can see on the 23rd January 2009. This is identical to the shooting star, but in reverse. In this case it is the bears who have early control of the market, forcing prices lower, only for the bulls to take charge later, forcing prices to rise from the day’s low, leaving a candle with a small body and deep lower shadow or wick. Clearly the bulls have won the day, but will this continue? We do ofcourse have to wait and se, but this is the first sign that we are possibly looking at a reversal of prices in the daily chart, and to therefore pay attention. So there you have it – two great candles, the shooting star, and the hammer, both in the same chart and both indicting possible turning points for us to make money in our trading.

Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : CAD/JPY, candle patterns, candlestick analysis, hammer, hammer candle, japanese candles, reversal candle, reversal patterns, reversals, shooting star

Microsoft & Yahoo – Deal Looks Possible Again

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Tuesday, February 24th, 2009

The on off relationship between Microsoft and Yahoo seems to be back on again this morning with the two companies back in talks to join forces and take on the might of Google in the search world. This was a deal originally muted several months ago, but which never came to fruition. Now it seems to be back on again, so possibly two stocks to watch for the future.

Categories : Latest Market News

Hi and Welcome

By admin · Comments (0)
Monday, February 23rd, 2009

Welcome to another of my sites which is being upgraded to the new layout. The site will be fully up and running by tomorrow so I hope you will come back then when the site will be fully operational. Each day the site will be updated with a chart of the day, along with an educational resource for learning about all the various types of candles and how to analyse the charts. The daily chart will provide interesting examples which I hope will add to your knowledge across a variety of markets. As always many thanks for your continued support and thank you for visiting the site – kind regards Anna

Categories : Reversal Patterns
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RSS (c) Financial Times Limited – 2010

  • Stocks surge on strong US jobs data February 3, 2012
    Equities and commodities benefit from robust US employment data with the FTSE All-World index at its best levels since start of August […]
  • Dollar rises as jobs boost dents QE3 speculation February 3, 2012
    The dollar strengthens after US data show a larger than expected rise in employment with investors taking this as a positive signal on the economy […]
  • Riot halts Egypt bourse rally February 3, 2012
    Stock exchange index drops 2.2 per cent following deadly riots, following 28 per cent rise on January. […]
  • Aussie dollar hits five-month high February 2, 2012
    Currency bounces after data shows Australia’s trade surplus rises to a record high in 2011 while Swiss franc loses some of its recent strength […]
  • ‘Too early’ to spot gaps in global regulation February 2, 2012
    Increasing concern differences in the way G20 reforms on derivatives are being fleshed out by region could lead to ‘regulatory arbitrage’ […]
  • SNB head warns of political fallout after crisis February 2, 2012
    Thomas Jordan, acting chairman, says bank has come under domestic political pressure over the potential cost of further interventions […]
  • Jordan vow to continue SNB intervention February 2, 2012
    Thomas Jordan, acting head of Swiss National Bank and thrust into the limelight after his boss’s swift departure, promises to continue radical policies […]
  • China’s capital flight looks ready for take-off February 2, 2012
    As sentiment toward the renminbi sours and the political outlook is more uncertain, Henny Sender predicts more money will leave the mainland […]
  • Traders on alert for Swiss intervention February 2, 2012
    Franc reaches its strongest level against the euro in almost five months, putting it near the level at which the SNB has previously taken action […]
  • Production data boost stocks February 1, 2012
    Risk assets are firmer on better than expected manufacturing data from China, Germany, the UK and US, but concerns about America resurface […]

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