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RSS (c) Financial Times Limited – 2010

  • Positive employment data lift US stocks February 3, 2012
    US stocks hit six-month high on news that unemployment fell to a three-year low in January with banks among the main beneficiaries […]
  • Stocks surge on strong US jobs data February 3, 2012
    Equities and commodities benefit from robust US employment data with the FTSE All-World index at its best levels since start of August […]
  • Volatile banks push Europe higher February 3, 2012
    Rapid gains for Société Générale and Crédit Agricole helped the FTSE Eurofirst rise for the fourth consecutive session on Friday […]
  • Chartists have a cross to bear February 3, 2012
    Analysts’ favourite is little help in spotting trends, says David Schwartz […]
  • Insurers head gains with FTSE eyeing 6,000 level February 3, 2012
    London makes broad-based gains with only six FTSE 100 stocks falling as US jobs data and purchasing managers’ surveys lift sentiment […]
  • Look before you leap, Mr Zuckerberg February 3, 2012
    In an open letter to Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, Joe Saluzzi of Themis Trading suggests the stock may become a chip in a giant casino […]
  • Growing pains for industry in a hurry February 3, 2012
    A raft of challenges made 2011 the toughest year yet for providers […]
  • Asian stocks drift lower on weak earnings February 3, 2012
    Asian stocks dip ahead of US jobs data later in the day, while downbeat corporate earnings continue to sway investor sentiment […]
  • Caesars plans IPO to allow investors to sell February 2, 2012
    Casino operator makes fresh attempt to list publicly and aims to raise only m but move will allow unnamed co-investors the opportunity to exit their investment […]
  • Miners power FTSE to six-month high February 2, 2012
    ENRC misses out on rally fuelled by Glencore and Xstrata’s proposed merger while disappointing results elsewhere drag on London index […]

Archive for candlestick analysis

Japanese candlesticks – shooting star candle explained

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Saturday, October 23rd, 2010

The upthrust, or shooting star candle is one of the most profitable trading signals we can watch for on our candlestick charts, and as with all candle analysis, it makes no difference what time frame we are trading , the market, or indeed the instrument, as candle charts are common to all assets, whether you trade forex, commodities or equities. In this case the signal came on a daily stock chart, and we were helped further on this occasion by having volume to confirm our analysis. Nevertheless, the shooting star candle is one of a handful of signals that I use myself every day, as it can be a powerful signal of a weak market or one that is about to turn. As always we have to be patient and wait for the market to validate the signal. In simple terms, the shooting star is signalling that the bulls are running out of steam and the bears are beginning to take control of the market, and for a strong signal we need to see a small body ( which can be positive or negative ) and a deep wick to the upper body. The height of the wick should be at least three times the height of the body to qualify as a shooting star candle. The wick or shadow to the top of the candle, indicates that the bulls are trying to take the market higher, but have failed, falling back exhausted as selling pressure has prevented the market rising further, and therefore signalling a potential turning point.
In this case the signal was preceded by a small doji, following by a hanging man, before the large shooting star candle on the 16th, which was followed the day after by a wide spread down candle, suggesting further weakness on the daily chart. The following day we received an additional signal with another shooting star candle, accompanied by excessively high volume, a clear confirmation that the market was weak with the market makers struggling to sell into an unresponsive market. Following this clear signal we then sold, as the market slid lower, adding further confirmation to the move breaking below the short term moving averages and approaching the 200 day moving average below.
The shooting star candle is one you will see every day, in every chart, no matter what time frame you choose. It is one of the basic signals that every technical chartist learns, and if I had to trade just one signal, this would be it. If you are scalping in the forex markets then this is a classic, but with no volume to help us with our analysis, we must rely on additional signals such as support and resistance, moving averages, and Fibonacci to confirm this bearish signal. Its twin, the hammer, which we see after a sell off, or at the end of a bearish trend, is another strong signal, but on this occasion signals bullish sentiment entering the market, and a possible reversal higher as a result.
Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : candle cjart analysis, candlestick analysis, candlestick patterns, japanese candles, shooting star candle

Support & Resistance – Pound vs Dollar Daily Chart

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Monday, February 1st, 2010
Pound vs Dollar Japanese Candle Chart 1st February 2010

Possible Breakout - Daily Candle Chart GBP/USD 1st February 2010

If you are a technical currency trader, then support and resistance levels can provide excellent longer term forex trading opportunities in the spot markets, and the pound vs dollar daily chart is now approaching one of these key levels. For the last few months the currency pair has been bouncing between the 1.67 price point to the upside and 1.58 to the downside, creating a deep level of price congestion, which in turn has created the upper and lower levels of the sideways channel. To date these levels have held, but with the strong sell off in the UK pound of the last few days, we are now approaching the lower level, which to date has provided a platform of support, which has seen daily prices for the pound to dollar pair bounce higher on each occasion that the level has been tested. With the gbp/usd now falling fast, and approaching the 1.58 level once again, and break below here could signal a much deeper move, possibly as far as 1.50 in due course, which should present us with some excellent longer term trading opportunities. The key of course is to wait for the level to be broken by at least 2%, and once achieved then we can enter our trades, confident that any reversal higher now has potential resistance above, which should provide a barrier to any longer term recovery. The pound dollar daily chart is in a classic phase at present with all technical traders now waiting for the break below, whilst swing traders will be anticipating a bounce back higher once again, which is why we need to wait for a confirmation that the support level has been broken.

The MT4 platform from ODL offers all the above with the choice of either mini or standard trading accounts so you can begin to trade with as little as 500 euros so why not download your free demo copy of the metatrader 4 software by clicking on the following link – download metatrader free -  and get started today, and don’t forget to follow my daily posts for updates and analysis of the forex markets to help you with your forex trading – so good luck and good trading.

Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : bearish pattern, bullish engulfing, CAD/JPY, candle analysis, candle charts, candle patterns, candlestick analysis, candlestick charting, candlestick charts, candlestick patterns, candlestick trading, contination patterns, ECN broker, economic news, forex candlestick, hammer candle, japanese candle, japanese candles, Momentum Patterns, reversal candle, shooting star candle, simple moving averages, support and resistance, USD/SGD weeky chart

Euros To Pounds 10 Minute Chart – 27th March 2009

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Friday, March 27th, 2009
EUR GBP 10 Minute Chart - 27th March 2009

EUR GBP 10 Minute Chart - 27th March 2009

This particular chart, which I have taken from this morning’s trading session on the euro pound currency pair, provides a classic example of how to make money scalping in short term currency pairs. The chart is based on ten minutes, and as we can see, at 9.30 this morning, three consecutive shooting star candles arrived, one after the other, indicating weakness in the market and a possible trading opportunity. I took a chance at this point and placed a wide stop loss above my short position, but had I been more patient I would have waited until 11 am for the confirming bearish engulfing candle to arrive, at which point I would have gone short, yielding a nice return. Now the key thing to note, is that it is very easy to take the first signal that arrives and to enter the market too early – in this case I waited for the third shooting star, a clear sign that the market is weak, before entering. The key to success in scalping is to be patient and to wait for the opportunities to come to you, and not to try to force the trades. Just be patient. Scalping is an excellent way to improve you technical analysis skills, and also forces you to be disciplined with your stop loss placement and management. Even if you only practice in a demo account, it is well worth the effort as these signals arrive every day across all the pairs, and if one is not providing anything of interest, simply change to another time frame or another currency pair, and it is an excellent way to ‘paper trade’ by honing your skills – yes I know it is always harder when real money is at stake, but practice, practice, and more practice will make you a better trader!

You can keep up to date with all the latest currency news, live currency charts, fundamental news, and ofcourse if you are looking for a good fx broker or ECN broker, please just follow the relevant link.

Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : bearish pattern, bullish engulfing, CAD/JPY, candle analysis, candle chart analysis, candle charts, candle pattern, candle patterns, candlestick analysis, candlestick charting, candlestick charts, candlestick patterns, candlestick trading, contination patterns, dollar yen, dollar yen chart, ECN broker, economic news, evening star, falling window, forex candlestick, fundamental news, FX broker, hammer candle, japanese candle, japanese candles, live charts, live currency charts, live news, Momentum Patterns, reversal candle, reversal pattern, shooting star, simple moving averages, spinning top, support and resistance, usd vs sgd, USD/JPY

Volume Spread Analysis – FTSE 100 16th March 2009

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Sunday, March 15th, 2009
FTSE 100 Daily Index Chart

FTSE 100 Daily Index Chart

I wanted to share this chart with you, as it is a trade I am suggesting for this week, and the analysis is based on a combination of volume spread analysis and Japanese candlesticks – the perfect combination of the Western indicator reinforcing the Eastern Japanese candlestick, and don’t forget you can find the latest live currency charts, index charts, fundamental news, and latest currency news in the navigation bar above, along with help in finding a good ECN broker.

If we look at the volume, the first point to note is that the index is going up, and yet the volume is falling which in volume spread analysis is always a warning signal. When a market rises then this should be accompanied by rising or increasing volume, and equally when a market falls, then this should also have increasing volume. To move a market takes effort ( whether up or down ) and if the volume ois falling, then this suggests that the move is running out of momentum for the simple reason that the market makers are no longer participating in the move. The market makers are the professional money, and the one activity they cannot hide is volume, which is why we use it as one of our primary indicators when studying markets which provide true volume. The market makers will take every and any opportunity to catch you out, but provided you use volume spread analysis techniques combined with your chart reading skills, you should always have a good idea of what they are planning next!

In this case we are seeing a move up, on falling volume which provides us with the first early warning signal that we may see a reversal in the trend shortly. The market makers are not taking part, and nor should we, but instead start to look for a selling opportunity. Friday’s candle provides the ideal signal – a shooting star after a rally, suggesting weakness to follow. The daily price has tried to rise, but falling back on selling pressure in the market. The market makers are withdrawing and not buying into the upwards move, and the price on the candle has failed to penetrate the resistance immediately above indicating weakness. If we do indeed see prices fall on Monday then this candle will be a classic morning star, three candle reversal. Finally in the last two months we have seen a series of lower highs and lower lows, of which this could be the next, again adding weight to our analysis.

Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : candle analysis, candle patterns, candlestick analysis, japanese candlesticks, reversal patterns, volume analysis, volume indicator, volume spread, volume spread analysis, VSA

Reversal Candle Patterns – CHF/JPY Currency Pair

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Monday, March 9th, 2009
CHF/JPY - Daily Candle Chart 9th March 2009

CHF/JPY - Daily Candle Chart 9th March 2009

I wanted to share this chart with you, as it highlights some important issues regarding timing, and in particular the need to be patient and not rush in and open a position as soon as we see a signal. Candlestick analysis is all about waiting for the signal to be confirmed as true or false – once this has happened then we have a much better chance of success, rather than rush in at the first opportunity without bothering to wait, frightened that the move will get away from us.

In this case we are looking at the daily chart for the CHF/JPY currency pair, and let’s start with the bearish engulfing signal on the 21st December 2008, following a shooting star candle. Had you been looking at this chart without the benefit of hindsight you would have seen the signal, and been waiting for prices to fall the following day, and no doubt rushed in to open a short position based on one candle. Your position would have closed at a loss, as prices moved higher in the day. On the other hand had you waited, then by the end of the day’s trading you would have known that the signal was false, as the charts were now telling you, loud and clear. Six days later we see another bearish signal, a shooting star after a long rally – a sign of weakness, when combined with the earlier bearish signal, this now starts to create a picture. Finally on the 5th January 2009, we receive a bearish engulfing signal which now confirms the weakness, and we would now be looking to trade short with a much better chance of success. Being patient is one of the hardest lessons to learn in trading, but it is one you need to learn, and learn fast. Chasing the market is the quick way to lose all your capital! So be patient and wait for the signal to be confirmed, and if it isn’t just remember that the signal is still there, and could be the first sign of a change, but only the FIRST sign!

Now the second example is really confirming the above in reverse with a bullish engulfing signal on the 27th February – a great signal and we open our position on the 28th February and go long – well in this case we may have survived, or we may not, depending on how tight our stop loss was, but again we are too early because we have been too impatient, and frightened that the move will get away from us. Had we waited, six days later we see another bullish engulfing candle, which when added to the first signal gives extra weight to our decision, and therefore a better chance of success. Now that bull rally is still continuing today, over one month later. So the moral is, be patient – I know it can be hard at times, but if you are constantly chasing the market you will lose – be patient and wait, and then use the earlier signal as a confirmation of a later one, adding weight to the decision. You may still be wrong, but at least you have waited and not rushed in at the first opportunity.

In order to help you with your trading I have added several new services to the site. First there is an economic calendar which provides details of all the fundamental news items from around the world, including details of the forecast and previous figures, but if you prefer your news on video, then the latest currency news is the place to go, with updates three times a day. In addition there is a live news feed, and for the latest prices, live currency charts covering over 70 of the world’s most popular traded pairs. Finally if you would like help with choosing your ECN broker, I have provided some guidance and suggestions for you, which I hope you find useful.

Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : analysis of candles, bearish engulfing, bearish pattern, bullish engulfing, candle chart analysis, candle charts, candle pattern, candle patterns, candlestick analysis, candlestick charts, CHF/JPY. swiss yen, ECN broker, reversal candle, reversal patterns, shooting star, trading currency

USD/SGD – Weekly Candle Chart 2nd March 2009

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Monday, March 2nd, 2009
USD/SGD Weekly Candle Chart - 2nd March 2009

USD/SGD Weekly Candle Chart - 2nd March 2009

Sometimes when we are analysing charts we tend to forget some of the basics, so I thought I would show you a great chart this morning which I hope demonstrates the point. The chart we are looking at is the weekly for the US dollar and Singapore dollar, not one I trade very often, but it does illustrate the point, which is simply this – with the wide spread up bar from last week, and clear breakout above the resistance at 1.5300, we should be very confident that a long position should make us money in the next few days as all the signals are good. First we have strong up candles with wide spreads indicating momentum in the move. Secondly we have a support area immediately below providing protection in the event of any reversal, and finally we have all three moving averages pointing higher. All these factors illustrate the point that Japanese candlestick analysis only works when combined with Western indicators, a fact we often forget in our analysis. I just wanted to remind you in case you had forgotten!!

Categories : Momentum Patterns
Tags : candle patterns, candlestick analysis, Momentum Patterns, simple moving averages, support and resistance, usd vs sgd, usd/sgd, USD/SGD weeky chart

Dollar Yen Daily Candle Chart – 25th February 2009

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Wednesday, February 25th, 2009
Dollar yen chart - daily 25th january 2009

Dollar Yen Chart ( USD/JPY) - Daily 25th February 2009

This is a great chart and a currency pair I am trading at the moment, so it is very relevant and has three excellent signals on the daily chart, all of which I have used to identify reversals in the last few weeks. The first of these occurred just before Christmas last year, with a great bullish engulfing signal following a sharp sell of which is a pre-requisite for this signal – in other words we must see a strong move before the signal in order for it to carry enough weight. In this case it did, and prices rose accordingly supported by the moving averages. The next signal occurred early in January again after a strong rally, with a classic shooting star above the 40 day moving average, indicating possible weakness in the market. The bulls have been in charge for the last few weeks, but the bears have now won the battle on the day forcing prices off their highs and back down to the open. With a confirming down bar the following day, this gave us an excellent signal to sell and to profit from the short side of the market.

Finally we have the third signal in the third week of January, a deep hammer with a narrow body and long lower wick. The important aspect to note here is that the lowest price on the day was identical to those of the bullish candle – a real giveway for us as traders and one which gives us extra confidence in the trade. Whilst this took some time to take effect, it was the first signal that a bottom had been reached and one that I have been trading ever since with last nights rise fueled by the awful economic news for Japan’s export markets. I actually entered the trade 5 days after the signal first appeared, once the wide spread up bar of the first week in February had appeared, and bought the following day on the reaction lower, a position I have held ever since. I am now looking for a target of 98.50 for the position in the short term. So in summary, three great candles, all of which gave us signals of a reversal.

Categories : Reversal Patterns
Tags : bullish engulfing, candle chart analysis, candlestick analysis, dollar yen, dollar yen chart, hammer candle, moving averages, reversal candle, reversal patterns, reversals, shooting star, USD/JPY
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RSS (c) Financial Times Limited – 2010

  • Stocks surge on strong US jobs data February 3, 2012
    Equities and commodities benefit from robust US employment data with the FTSE All-World index at its best levels since start of August […]
  • Dollar rises as jobs boost dents QE3 speculation February 3, 2012
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  • Riot halts Egypt bourse rally February 3, 2012
    Stock exchange index drops 2.2 per cent following deadly riots, following 28 per cent rise on January. […]
  • Aussie dollar hits five-month high February 2, 2012
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  • ‘Too early’ to spot gaps in global regulation February 2, 2012
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  • SNB head warns of political fallout after crisis February 2, 2012
    Thomas Jordan, acting chairman, says bank has come under domestic political pressure over the potential cost of further interventions […]
  • Jordan vow to continue SNB intervention February 2, 2012
    Thomas Jordan, acting head of Swiss National Bank and thrust into the limelight after his boss’s swift departure, promises to continue radical policies […]
  • China’s capital flight looks ready for take-off February 2, 2012
    As sentiment toward the renminbi sours and the political outlook is more uncertain, Henny Sender predicts more money will leave the mainland […]
  • Traders on alert for Swiss intervention February 2, 2012
    Franc reaches its strongest level against the euro in almost five months, putting it near the level at which the SNB has previously taken action […]
  • Production data boost stocks February 1, 2012
    Risk assets are firmer on better than expected manufacturing data from China, Germany, the UK and US, but concerns about America resurface […]

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